Favourites / Second Favourites

What would have happened if you backed the favourite(s) or second favourite(s) at a certain SP range in every race?

SPs are based on Betfair Exchange prices just before the off. Rule 4 deductions have not been taken into account as this is not available from the Betfair data.


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Results :: Win

Open Balance Date / Time Course Distance (Participants) Horse Stake SP Win / Lose Balance
1,000.00 03 Jan 2015 / 12:00 Newcastle 2m4f Nov Hrd (4) Hester Flemen 25.00 1.34 WIN 1,008.08
1,008.08 09 Jan 2015 / 13:00 Doncaster 2m Nov Chs (6) Josses Hill 35.00 1.37 WIN 1,020.38
1,020.38 15 Jan 2015 / 18:10 Wolverhampton 1m4f Hcap (4) Naval Action 49.00 1.28 LOSE 971.38
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Summary

Final Balance (Start:1000) Min Balance Max Balance Max Stake Total Bets Total Stake Win Rate (%) ROI (%)
3,135.01 (+2,135.01) 477.47 3,135.01 250.00 299 38,004.11 81.27 5.62
Longest Winning Streak :: 31 Longest Losing Streak :: 3
Year Bets Start Bank End Bank Profit / Loss
2015 94 1,000.00 2,014.30 1,014.30
2016 101 2,014.30 2,127.20 112.90
2017 75 2,127.20 2,738.59 611.39
2018 29 2,738.59 3,135.01 396.42


Chart

The chart shows progress (bank balance) along the course of the date range Plot Fewer Points   Plot More Points



Analysis

Handicap Races Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
Handicap Race 21 19 2 90.48
Non-Handicap Race 278 224 54 80.58
Maiden Races Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
Maiden Race 0 0 0 0.00
Non-Maiden Race 299 243 56 81.27
Novice Races Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
Novice Race 192 156 36 81.25
Non-Novice Race 107 87 20 81.31
Juvenile Races Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
Juvenile Race 15 12 3 80.00
Non-Juvenile Race 284 231 53 81.34
Race Type Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
Flat 84 72 12 85.71
Hurdle 127 100 27 78.74
Chase 88 71 17 80.68
Participants Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
3 63 50 13 79.37
4 102 88 14 86.27
5 79 65 14 82.28
6 55 40 15 72.73
Distance Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
5f 11 7 4 63.64
6f 10 9 1 90.00
7f 11 10 1 90.91
1m 8 8 0 100.00
1m1f 2 2 0 100.00
1m2f 10 9 1 90.00
1m3f 3 2 1 66.67
1m4f 9 7 2 77.78
1m5f 1 1 0 100.00
1m6f 3 2 1 66.67
1m7f 15 12 3 80.00
2m 71 58 13 81.69
2m1f 22 18 4 81.82
2m2f 6 5 1 83.33
2m3f 25 18 7 72.00
2m4f 32 26 6 81.25
2m5f 21 19 2 90.48
2m6f 6 4 2 66.67
2m7f 8 6 2 75.00
3m 14 11 3 78.57
3m1f 5 4 1 80.00
3m2f 6 5 1 83.33
Course Total Races Wins Losses Win Rate (%)
Aintree 4 3 1 75.00
Ascot 4 3 1 75.00
Ayr 6 3 3 50.00
Bangor 4 3 1 75.00
Bath 5 5 0 100.00
Beverley 1 1 0 100.00
Brighton 5 5 0 100.00
Carlisle 5 3 2 60.00
Cartmel 1 1 0 100.00
Catterick 7 5 2 71.43
Chelmsford City 1 1 0 100.00
Cheltenham 3 3 0 100.00
Chepstow 4 4 0 100.00
Chester 1 1 0 100.00
Doncaster 11 9 2 81.82
Exeter 9 7 2 77.78
Fakenham 4 3 1 75.00
Ffos Las 3 2 1 66.67
Fontwell 16 14 2 87.50
Goodwood 1 1 0 100.00
Haydock 4 3 1 75.00
Hereford 2 2 0 100.00
Hexham 4 2 2 50.00
Huntingdon 8 7 1 87.50
Kelso 7 5 2 71.43
Kempton 7 6 1 85.71
Leicester 6 5 1 83.33
Lingfield 13 9 4 69.23
Ludlow 6 5 1 83.33
Market Rasen 7 6 1 85.71
Musselburgh 5 4 1 80.00
Newbury 6 4 2 66.67
Newcastle 10 8 2 80.00
Newton Abbot 14 11 3 78.57
Nottingham 2 2 0 100.00
Perth 8 8 0 100.00
Plumpton 6 6 0 100.00
Pontefract 2 2 0 100.00
Ripon 1 1 0 100.00
Salisbury 2 1 1 50.00
Sandown 6 5 1 83.33
Sedgefield 8 6 2 75.00
Southwell 14 13 1 92.86
Stratford 4 4 0 100.00
Taunton 3 2 1 66.67
Towcester 4 4 0 100.00
Uttoxeter 5 5 0 100.00
Warwick 7 5 2 71.43
Wetherby 6 5 1 83.33
Wincanton 7 6 1 85.71
Windsor 2 1 1 50.00
Wolverhampton 7 4 3 57.14
Worcester 7 7 0 100.00
Yarmouth 3 1 2 33.33
York 1 1 0 100.00